2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks, predictions: Model fading Christopher Bell at Federated Auto Parts 400 – CBS Sports

August 31, 2022 by No Comments

Kevin Harvick picked up one of the most dramatic wins of the NASCAR Cup Series season last weekend in Michigan, his first victory in 65 races. He is now in playoff contention with only three races remaining to set the 16-driver field, increasing the drama for Sunday’s 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway. Seven of the nine active Richmond winners have already secured playoff positions, including Harvick, a three-time champion at this track. He is a 15-1 long shot in the latest Federated Auto Parts 400 odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET.

Harvick is coming off a win and has prior success at this track, but he is ninth in the 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds for Sunday’s race. Before scouring the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Richmond predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Richmond picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure’s model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In total, it nailed five of Larson’s wins during a historic season.

So far in 2022, it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and high on Logano again when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. Last week, it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to capture the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2022 NASCAR at Richmond race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 leaderboard.

Top 2022 NASCAR at Richmond predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Richmond odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Logano has experience racing at this track and is also a proven winner with two victories at Richmond under his belt.

He has already won a pair of races this season as well, coming out on top at Darlington and the World Wide Technology Raceway. Logano is in strong form coming into this race, finishing in the top six at Indianapolis and at Michigan last week. SportsLine’s model expects him to contend again this weekend, making him a strong wager at 15-1 NASCAR odds.┬áSee which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a massive shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2022 Federated Auto Parts 400 starting lineup.

Bell is seventh in the standings and has all but sewn up a spot in this year’s NASCAR playoff picture with a win at New Hampshire. He led 63 laps at Richmond in the spring, but …….

Source: https://www.cbssports.com/nascar/news/2022-nascar-at-richmond-odds-picks-predictions-model-fading-christopher-bell-at-federated-auto-parts-400/


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